Wednesday, October 29, 2003

WHAT IF THE ALLIES LOST THE BATTLE OF THE MARNE? Donald Sensing argues the following:
All of these effects, reverberating to this very day, may be argued to have resulted from the allied victory at the Battle of the Marne. Had the allies lost that battle, I think one may make a good case that none of the following would have occurred:

The rise fascism in Italy and of Nazism in Germany,

The rise of a communist Soviet Union, although the Czar would likely have been deposed eventually (more likely, would have become a figurehead monarch along the lines of Britain’s)

World War II in Europe, and probably not in Asia. Japan would still have had imperial ambitions, but they would not have brought the world into conflict, and perhaps not the US.

Hence, no Cold War and none of its attendant ravages

A much less powerful United States, but one still secure and free

No communist China

No Vietnam War

No Korean War

No free and democratic Japan

No Holocaust

Hence, no establishment of the state of Israel

Hence, no history of war, conflict and terrorism in the Middle East

No Iranian Islamic revolution,

Hence, no rise of modern radical Islamism

Hence no 9/11/01 attacks.
Interesting.

UPDATE: Stephen Green has some interesting thoughts on this post.
The situation in 1915 Europe would have been 1942 all over again, but with one important difference: The United States would never have gotten involved, never mobilized, and never had the opportunity to get used to the idea of acting like a Great Power.

The good news is, we would have been spared most of Lenin, all of Stalin, and the Holocaust.

The bad news is, there would still have been a Second World War.


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