It Makes a Difference to the Sheep

ONE STATE, TWO STATE, RED STATE BLUE STATE: Vodkapundit plays around with various projections of the 2004 presidential election. Green acknowledges flaws:

As I said, it's too simple -- the spreadsheet assumes voting patterns will remain essentially unchanged over a period of 4 years. Given the fact that each party is going to start with 40-42% of the voters, I'm going to go with that assumption. However, things like turnout -- in case the election looks like a blowout one way or the other -- could change things fairly dramatically.

But why let facts get in the way of good speculation?

but it is interesting to consider nonetheless.