Monday, November 08, 2004
"HOW BUSH WON THE ELECTION"
Some interesting and thorough analysis of exit polls (?!) by Kevin Drum. Worth reading the whole thing, but here are his conclusions:
Based on this, my tentative conclusion is that the "moral values" vote is a red herring. It played no bigger a role this year than in 2000."It's the economy stupid." Who would have thought ...?
Terrorism played a bigger role, mostly by being a more important issue to a lot more people. Bush's level of support among people who based their vote primarily on world affairs increased only modestly.
And that good old mainstay the economy was the most important of all. Compared to 2000, fewer people personally think they're doing better but more people believe the economy is in good shape anyway. And Bush was overwhelmingly successful in convincing those people that his policies deserved the credit.